How Many 2020S1 GPK Late to School Were Produced? Part 2

This is Part 2 of a two part series on the production of 2020S1 GPK Late to School. If you missed Part 1 you can go here to catch up.

In the first post we looked at how many packs/boxes/cases were produced of 2020S1 Garbage Pail Kids Late to School. Here’s a review of what we came up with.

  • Total Production – 670,000 Packs
  • Collector – 74,000 Collector Packs or about 3,083 Hobby Boxes or about 385 Collector Cases
  • Blaster – 252,000 Blaster Packs or 50,400 Blaster boxes or 1,220 Blaster Cases
  • Retail Display/Fat Packs – 344,000

I’ll be using these numbers to try to come up with an idea how many of each type of parallel and insert were created for the set. This will give you a good idea how rare a set is and how quickly you need to snap up that card for your rainbow! I’ll also compare some of this info to the previous sets for reference. As a reminder, in addition to using the sell sheet and odds, we will also have to make some assumptions and flat out guesses when trying to figure some of these out.

So how many of each type of card was made? We can’t figure it out for every type of insert or parallel. Some card types we don’t have enough information. Other times however, Topps is nice enough to tell us exactly how many of a card was produced. Like previous sets, Topps has continued to number many card types. This means we already know most of the parallel and insert numbers already! Makes this post a lot easier! We know Blue /99, Red /75, and Gold /50 for the parallels, and Relics /100 and Autos /35! One important note, for this set Topps has raised the print run on the artist autographs. They are now /35, previously they were /25.

Unlike the previous series, 2019S2 Revenge, we can’t quite figure out everything. We were unable to figure out Retail Display and Fat Pack production. That means we won’t be able to figure out Green or Purple parallels this time.

First let’s figure out production for the various parallels.

  • Black Borders – 74,000 Collector packs / 1 Odds (doh) = 74,000 total Blacklight cards / 200 cards in set = 370 per card.
  • Yellow Borders – 252,000 Retail Display packs / 5 Odds = 50,400 total Yellow borders / 200 cards in set = 252 per card

Let’s take a look at these numbers compared to previous series. Not surprisingly Black borders are slightly higher. This is because production is also slightly higher on Collector boxes. The number that stands right out is the Yellow borders. Topps moved the Yellows to Blasters this time. Blasters are produced much higher than Retail Display boxes. This means the print run of the Yellows is far higher than in the past. Last series 2019S2 was only 30 per card. This series we are up around 250 per. Should be much easier to find the Yellow border you are looking for. Finally, because we don’t have Fat Pack and Retail display numbers broken out, we are unable to determine Green and Purple borders this time. You can assume the production is similar on the Greens compared too 2019S2. However, the Purples will be about 1/2 of what 2019S2 had. If you remember, Topps messed up and included 2 purple per Fat pack last release. This series was back to 1 per fat pack, so assume purples are about 1/2 of last series.

Now let’s take a look at the various insert sets.

  • Wacky Package Parodies – 74,000 Collector packs / 24 odds = 3,084 total Wacky Package Parodies / 10 cards in set = 308 per card
  • Class Superlatives – 50,400 Blaster Boxes * 3 per box = 151,200 total Class Superlatives / 10 cards in set = 15,120 per card
  • Lunchboxes – 3,084 Collector boxes / 1 odds – 3,083 total Lunchboxes
    • We know Green & Purple are 1/4 of total = 771 lunchboxes. We also know Orange is 1/2 of Purple/Green = 385. Meanwhile Blue are 1.5 times of Purple/Green = 1157

Wacky Package Parodies are very close in production to the Collector box insert of the 2019S2 set. This is because there are 10 cards in the set, compared to 9 last time. Class Superlatives also comes in very close to the insert set from Blaster boxes in 2019S2. We are unable to determine the print run for the GPK Mascots or Faculty Lounge because we weren’t able to break down the pack production of Retail Display and Fat Packs. The lunchboxes are interesting. Every case I saw was packed the same, 3 blues, 2 purples, 2 greens, and 1 orange. Not sure why Topps decided to short print the Orange ones. But those will be tougher to locate as collectors are realizing.

One thing I like taking a look at each set is where all the printing plates are hiding. Historically, retail has the majority of the printing plates because it accounts for over 80% of the print run. We know Topps inserted 400 plates into production. Here is the breakdown of how many can be found in each pack type.

  • Collector Plates – 74,000 packs / 531 odds = 139 plates in Collector packs
  • Blaster Plates – 252,000 packs / 2,295 odds = 109 plates in Blaster packs

Once again if you want a plate Collector packs are the easiest option. Although a large amount of plates are in retail packs, you just have to open a bunch. Because we can’t breakdown Fat Pack and Retail Display pack numbers were can’t double check out pack totals. But once again the numbers for plates will be very similar to 2019S2.

The bottom line is this, the last two retail sets have been hugely successful for Topps. It couldn’t come at a better time. 2020 will be a year long 35th anniversary celebration, with the year ending with the 35 anniversary set. There will be ample licensed merchandise items debuting from new and old companies alike. Topps stands to make more money off of GPK in 2020 that they have in many, many years.

Finally, can we figure out how many base cards were produced? Not really, but we can use what we know and give it our best guess! We know Collector packs have 6 or 7 base cards per pack now, except for packs containing patches, but that number is so small we will go with 6. Retail/Hobby packs 7 base cards per pack this time around, except for packs containing gold dust, autos, sketches, and plates, but again that number is so small I’m going to go with 7 per pack.

Base Cards – (74,000 Collector packs X 6 cards per pack) + (596,000 Retail packs X 7 cards per pack) = 4,616,000 Total Base Cards produced / 200 cards per set = 23,080 Total of each base card.

Not quite as high as the 25,000+ sets from 2019S2, but still a lot of base cards out there! Collectors will have no problem putting this set in their collections!

This is Part 2 of a two part series on the production of 2020S1 GPK Late to SchoolIf you missed Part 1 you can go here to catch up.

How Many 2020S1 GPK Late to School Cards Were Produced? Part 1

This is Part 1 of a 2 part series on the production of 2020 Series 1 Garbage Pail Kids Late to School. Part 2 will be posting soon.

After two years of of sets based off of real people, Topps decided to change things up with 2020S1 GPK Late to School. Sales have been steadily increasing set by set with GPK. In fact 2019S2 was the highest produced GPK set in years. GPK collectors love their horror cards, and that showed with their purchasing power of 2019S2. so how would Topps keep collectors interested? Bring back card back art! Checklists, puzzles, and new card back art all make a return. The elimination of the frustrating subsets also was a collector plus. Was that enough to keep collectors buying GPKs? Distributors thought so, as Late to School’s production rivals that of 2019S2 Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible. Let’s take a look at just how many cards made.

First my disclaimer! Production numbers are never an exact science, and Topps makes it tough on us. In order to attempt to solve this riddle we need to look very closely at the clues in both the odds and the sell sheets. Some things to keep in mind for this post. 1) Topps doesn’t want the public to know exactly how much of each card was made. Why? No idea really, I think its dumb, but historically Topps only provides enough information to get close. 2) We need to make some assumptions. Those assumptions will be based on the clues we have, but still some guessing has to happen. 3) The odds never quite seem to come out completely equal. However, we can round and get pretty close to how much was produced. 4) Topps changes what is printed from what the sell sheet says all the time. This will throw off all our numbers. 5) Keep in mind Topps historically holds back up to 5% of the print run to cover missing hits, damaged cards, and their No Purchase Necessary program. These numbers would include that 5%. With all that in mind let’s get started…(Warning lots of math coming up. If you don’t want to read about the process, skip to the bottom for the answer sheet!)

As always we need to start by determining how many packs were made for the entire print run. In order to do that we need a card type where the odds are exactly the same in all pack types. One thing where 2020S1 Late to School is very similar to 2019S2 Revenge is the pack structure. This will make the method to figuring out production almost identical to 2019S2. Once again Topps has overstated parallels by double. Why Topps does this, I have no idea. But all parallels, reds, blues, yellows, golds, etc. are actually being pulled at 1/2 the rate stated on packs. Going forward, in this article I will be using 1/2 of the stated odds on packs for parallels. Another consistency from 2019S2 is Jumbo odds are 1/3 the odds on retail packs. So once again I will be counting a Fat Pack as 3 packs for our calculations.

Gold borders this time are set at 1:134 packs in Collector, Retail, and Blaster packs, and 1:45 in Fat packs. Since the odds are overstated by double I’m going to use 1:67 as the more realistic odds. There are 200 base cards in the set, and Gold borders are /50 on the back. Therefore, 200 X 50 number of golds per card = 10,000 total Gold borders X 67 odds = 670,000 total packs made for release. That’s a lot of packs once again. It puts Late to School just under total pack production compared to 2019S2.

How can we be sure 670,000 is the right number? It’s hard because Topps no longer has any other card types with similar odds across the packs. Instead let’s try to reverse check our number and see if it makes sense. Let’s try to figure out how many of each pack type there are. Collector packs are always easy. There are a lot of card types only found in Collector packs. Relics, Red borders, and Blue borders are all things we can use. Let’s look at the math on those:

  • Patch Cards – 10 cards in set X 100 made per card = 1000 total patches x 74 odds = 74,000 Collector packs made
  • Bloody Red borders – 200 cards in set X 75 made per card = 15,000 total Red borders X 5 odds = 75,000 Collector packs made
  • Spit Blue borders – 200 cards in set X 99 made per card = 19,800 total Blue borders X 4 odds = 79,200 Collector packs made

Once again Collector boxes are pretty easy to figure out. Sure the blue borders show a few more packs, but quite often the odds are rounded and not exact. That could account for some of the differences. It looks like it’s safe to assume 74,000 Collector packs were made. This shows Collector pack production is even up over 2019S2 Revenge! It’s not surprising, the lunchboxes that were included with each Collector were a big hit.

How about other pack types? In order to determine how many different types of retail packs were made we would need a card type that is only in one type of retail pack, and we know how many were made. The past couple of releases I used Loaded and Panoramic sketch numbers. Sadly, this isn’t possible this set. Topps were suppose to move Panoramic sketches to Value Box packs. However, pano sketches actually were inserted into Collector boxes. This left Fat packs and Retail display packs with no special cards that we know the print run of. Therefore, we are unable to break down the retail production this time. However, we can figure out how many Value Box packs, since Loaded sketches appear in those, and we know how many artists there were. We know there were 44 artists that completed sketches for this set. While the official Topps checklist shows only 41, there were 44 that confirmed to GPKNews they did sketches. Some of these sketches have started showing up on eBay. So we will assume the Topps checklist is incorrect.

  • Loaded sketches – 44 artists * 5 sketches each = 220 total Loaded sketches * 229 odds per box = 50,380 Blaster boxes * 5 packs per box = 251,900 blaster packs

That pack number makes alot of sense given total production is down just a bit compared to the 2019S1 release. While that number won’t help us in this article, we will use it in part two to figure yellow border production numbers. We are going to go with a total production pack run of 670,000.

We know there are 74,000 Collector packs. If total packs are 670,000 – 74,000 Collector packs = 596,000 retail packs. Let’s take it even further. 596,000 retail packs – 252,000 blaster packs = 344,000 Fat packs/Retail Display packs. We can’t break down the difference between Fat Packs and Retail Display packs. However, I think its safe to assume the numbers are very similar to 2019S2, just slightly lower. However, without any actual numbers to go off of we won’t be able to figure out that information. However, let’s look at regular sketches. 44 artists + 36 regular sketches = 1,584 total sketches * 371 odds across retail – 587,664. That’s very close to the 596,000 number we came up with for retail packs. I believe our total pack numbers are very close.

What do the numbers tell us? Garbage Pail Kids continue to see a popularity they haven’t seen in years. Topps has been working overtime to print these sets. Once again this set has huge production.

Here’s what I believe the total production numbers to be for Late to School:

  • Total Production – 670,000 Packs
  • Collector – 74,000 Collector Packs or about 3,083 Hobby Boxes or about 385 Collector Cases
  • Blaster – 252,000 Blaster Packs or 50,400 Blaster boxes or 1,220 Blaster Cases
  • Fat Packs/Retail Display Packs – 344,000

Production is down, but it’s not by a lot. After the hugely successful 2019S2 set, retail partners have continued to order GPK product. There are also more than just Target stores carrying the product. Multiple national outlets carry GPK now. Let’s look at how production compares to other recent sets.

  • Total Pack Production
    • We Hate the 80’s – 439,000
    • Oh the Horror-ible – 440,000
    • We Hate the 90’s – 473,000
    • Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible – 748,000
    • Late to School – 670,000 (11% decrease in production vs. Revenge)
  • Collector Pack Production
    • We Hate the 80’s – 39,000
    • Oh the Horror-ible – 60,000
    • We Hate the 90’s – 50,000
    • Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible – 69,000
    • Late to School – 74,000 (7% increase in production vs. Revenge)
  • Retail Pack Production
    • We Hate the 80’s (Includes Hobby packs) – 393,000
    • Oh the Horror-ible – 380,000
    • We Hate the 90’s – 423,000
    • Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible – 679,000
    • Late to School – 596,000 (12% decrease in production vs. Revenge)

Once again production is very high for 2020S1 Late to School. There is a decrease from 2019S2, but in the grand scheme of things this is still the second highest produced set in years. The numbers are just over that of the 30th anniversary set. Once again collectors are going to be frustrated when looking for hits like sketches, plates, and autos. They will be very hard to come by once again. However, the expansion into multiple retail outlets shows promise for 2020. This sets Topps up nicely for the 35th anniversary celebration planned the entire year. Sure we won’t get the 35th set until late this year. However, Chrome is scheduled to come sometime this summer. It will be interesting to see how the recent popularity of GPK will affect ordering from retail partners for chrome.

This practice is always a lot of fun to look at. Let me know your thoughts on the numbers in the comments!

This is Part 1 of a 2 part series on the production of 2020 Series 1 Garbage Pail Kids Late to School. In Part 2 we will look at production numbers for all parallel and insert sets. Part 2 will be posted soon.

2020 Series 1 Garbage Pail Kids Late to School Explained

Update #2: Article updated to add Walmart.com promo card.

Update: Thanks to Clint Coleman for confirming Triptych sketches are being pulled from Value boxes. It would appear Topps switched the Panos and the Triptych sketches.

After just a short 4 month break, Topps is back with their latest retail set 2020 Series 1 Garbage Pail Kids Late to School. Change is the key word with the newest GPK set from Topps. First off, the subject matter is entirely new and not based off of real people. This breaks with the prior two years of retail sets. After years of complaints from collectors, Topps is finally starting to listen. Gone are the subsets that started with the 30th anniversary set in 2015. The base set is 200 total base cards, all numbered on the front 1a/b-100a/b. Card back art also finally returns! Card backs feature puzzle pieces, GPK Report Cards and checklists. All these are welcome changes for collectors and things they have been asking for. While there are changes, the basic formula is very similar to the previous set, 2019S2 Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible. Based on odds, production is very high once again, just down slightly from 2019S2. Once again Topps has overstated the odds on parallels by double.

Topps did make a couple of tweaks to the product. Topps increased the print run on the artist autographs. They are all out of /35 now. Pano sketches were suppose to move to Value Box packs. However, collectors busting packs are finding them in Collector boxes.  None have surface from Value packs despite showing up on the sell sheet and pack odds. GPKNews has reached out to Topps for comment on the Pano sketches. This article will be updated if they respond. In another possible interesting update Triptych sketches have not surfaced in any pack type as of this writing. They should be in Collector boxes. Finally, while sketch artist numbers are down, the official Topps checklist is missing three artists who completed sketches for the set. The total sketch artists should be 44.

I will have articles in the coming days looking at production numbers in more detail. To see the official Topps checklist click here. For now here is what you can find, and where you can find it in 2020 Series 1 Garbage Pail Kids Late to School.

(Note: I will continue to update this post as new information comes to light and any new parallels/inserts are found.)

  • Base Set – 100a/b (200 Cards).
  • Parallel Sets – Same exact cards from the Base set, except with a different speckled color border.
    • Bruised Black Border (Black)) – 1:1 – Collector (200 Cards)
    • Spit Blue Border (Light Blue) /99 – 1:8 – Collector (200 Cards)
    • Blood Nose Red Border (Red) /75 – 1:10– Collector (200 Cards)
    • Fool’s Gold Border (Gold) /50 – 1:134 – Retail Display/Value, 1:134 – Collector, 1:45 Fat Packs (200 Cards)
    • Booger Green Border (Green) – 1:1 – Retail (200 Cards)
    • Jelly Purple Border (Purple) – 1:1 – Fat Packs (200 Cards)
    • Phlegm Yellow Border (Yellow) – 1:10 – Value Box Packs (200 Cards)
    • Printing Plates – 1:531 Collector, 1:2,295 Value, 1:2,318 Retail Display, 1:758 Fat Packs (400 Total Plates – 4 per card artwork)
  • Insert Sets – All the various insert subsets that can be found in packs.
    • Walmart Promo Card – 1 Per Walmart.com Value Box (1 Card)
    • Wacky Package Parodies – 1:24 – Collector (10 cards)
    • GPK Faculty Lounge – 2 Per Fat Pack (10a/b – 20 Cards)
    • GPK Mascots – 1:3 – Retail Display (5a/b – 10 Cards))
    • Class Superlatives – 3 Per Value Box (5a/b – 10 Total Cards)
    • School Pennant Patch Cards /100 – 1:74 – Collector (10 Total Cards)
    • Collectible Lunchbox – 1 Per Collector Box (4 Total Lunchboxes)
    • Artist Autograph /35 – 1:61 Collector, 1:260 Retail Display, 1:259 Value, 1:87 Fat Packs (100 Total Cards – 1 per card artwork)
    • Sketch Card – 1:371 Retail Display/Value, 1:124 Fat Packs (44 Artists)
    • Shaped Sketch – 1:122 – Collector (44 Artists)
    • Triptych Sketch – 1:723 (Actually being found in Value box packs.) – Collector (44 Artists)
    • Loaded Sketch – 1:229 – Value Box (44 Artists)
    • Panoramic Sketch Cards – 1:4,519 – Value (Actually being found in Collector packs.) (44 Artists)

Collector Pack Odds for 2020 Series 1 Garbage Pail Kids Late to School

While the official release date is still a couple of days away, that hasn’t stopped boxes from being shipped from distributors for 2020 Series 1 Garbage Pail Kids Late to School. Today we are able to share with you Collector box odds. The odds tell a similar story with Retail. Production appears to be quite high once again. Also, as has been Topps’ tradition the odds on the parallels are overstated by double. Keep in mind parallels are actually falling at twice the rate posted on packs. Collector boxes are packages in a  regular box and plastic wrap, making the lunchboxes a blind box of sorts. I’ll have much more on that and production numbers in upcoming articles. Here are the Collector pack odds.

2020S1 GPK Late to School Collector Pack Odds

  • Spit Blue 1:8
  • Blood Nose Red 1:10
  • Fool’s Gold 1:134
  • Printing Plate 1:531
  • Artist Autograph 1:61
  • Wacky Package Parody 1:24
  • School Pennant Patch 1:74
  • Shaped Sketch 1:122
  • Tryptych Sketch 1:723

Retail Odds for 2020 Series 1 Garbage Pail Kids Late to School

Updated 1/20 – Article updated to add Fat Pack and Retail Display Odds.

We are just under one week away from the official release date of 2020 Series 1 Garbage Pail Kids Late To School. That isn’t stopping stores from releasing the product early. Thanks to collectors Eric Benton and Aaron Seidel for sending along pictures and info. These collectors found Value boxes at Meijer stores today. This is the first time Meijer has beaten Target to the punch. Topps has returned to the previous naming convention for the parallels as Fool’s Gold and Phlegm Yellow are back after the blood splatter from 2019S2. It appears once again the odds on the parallels are overstated by double. It’s still early, but each Value box has 1 yellow border card which makes them 1:5, not 1:10 as stated. It wouldn’t surprise me to see all the parallels odds this same way as has been the case the last few GPK series from Topps. A quick look at the odds reveals some hits are slightly easier this time. Both Printing Plates and Artist Autos are a little easier to pull. Initially it looks like production might be slightly lower than 2019S2, but still higher than any previous series in years. Meanwhile sketch cards have even longer odds than 2019S2. Pano sketches and Loaded sketches will be very hard to come by once again. This is attributed to the lower number of sketch artists on this set.

I’ll have my usual rundown of the production numbers in the coming days once all pack odds are in. In the meantime here are the odds for all retail pack types of 2020S1 GPK Late to School.

2020S1 GPK Late to School Value Pack/Box Odds

  • Phlegm Yellow 1:10
  • Fool’s Gold 1:134
  • Printing Plate 1:2,295
  • Artist Autograph 1:259
  • Regular Sketch 1:371
  • Panoramic Sketch 1:4,519
  • Loaded Puzzle Sketch 1:229 (Value Boxes)

2020S1 GPK Late to School Fat Pack Retail Odds

  • Fool’s Gold 1:45
  • Printing Plate 1:758
  • Artist Autograph 1:87
  • Regular Sketch 1:124

2020S1 GPK Late to School Retail Display Odds

  • Fool’s Gold 1:134
  • Printing Plate 1:2,318
  • Artist Autograph 1:260
  • GPK Mascots 1:3
  • Regular Sketch 1:371

Value Box Art for 2020S1 Garbage Pail Kids Late to School

We are now a little over two weeks away from the release of the next retail set 2020S1 Garbage Pail Kids Late to School. Topps was nice enough to share an image with GPKNews of the Value Box art for the upcoming set. In keeping with the recent tradition of themed boxes, the box is shaped like a school house. The front of the box features artwork of a very frustrated looking principal done by artist David Gross.

Some other observations based on the odds on the side of the box. They odds are difficult to see in the picture, and they could just be a mock-up. But if real the odds look to be similar to the previous set, 2019S2 Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible. Loaded sketches look to be tougher to pull. Autos looks to be slightly easier. Pano sketches and Phlegm yellow borders are indeed in the Value boxes this set as advertised on the sell sheet. A lot of this makes sense. Less artists this set means sketches will be tougher to pull. Topps also increased the print run on the autos to /35 with this release, therefore making autos slightly easier to pull. Much more on the odds when the packs start to be released.

How Many 2019S2 GPK Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible Were Produced? Part 2

This is Part 2 of a two part series on the production of 2019S2 GPK Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible. If you missed Part 1 you can go here to catch up.

In the first post we looked at how many packs/boxes/cases were produced of 2019S2 Garbage Pail Kids Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible. Here’s a review of what we came up with.

  • Total Production – 748,000 Packs
  • Collector – 69,000 Collector Packs or about 2,875 Hobby Boxes or about 360 Collector Cases
  • Blaster – 264,000 Blaster Packs or 32,800 Blaster boxes or 1,320 Blaster Cases
  • Fat Packs – 130,000 Fat Packs or 1203 Fat Pack cases
  • Retail Display – 24,000 Retail Display Packs or 1000 Retail Display boxes or 125 Retail Display Cases

I’ll be using these numbers to try to come up with an idea how many of each type of parallel and insert were created for the set. This will give you a good idea how rare a set is and how quickly you need to snap up that card for your rainbow! I’ll also compare some of this info to the previous sets for reference. As a reminder, in addition to using the sell sheet and odds, we will also have to make some assumptions and flat out guesses when trying to figure some of these out.

So how many of each type of card was made? We can’t figure it out for every type of insert or parallel. Some card types we don’t have enough information. Other times however, Topps is nice enough to tell us exactly how many of a card was produced. Like previous sets, Topps has continued to number many card types. This means we already know most of the parallel and insert numbers already! Makes this post a lot easier! We know Blue /99, Red /75, and Gold /50 for the parallels, and Relics /100 and Autos /25 for the insert sets!

Like with last series because we’ve figured out roughly what the individual pack production is of the various retail packs types we can try to figure out the production of the retail parallels. We can also figure out the Blacklight production.

First let’s figure out production for the various parallels.

  • Blacklight – 69,000 Collector packs / 1 Odds (doh) = 69,000 total Blacklight cards / 200 cards in set = 345 per card.
  • Green Borders – 264,000 Blaster packs + 130,000 Fat Packs + 24,000 Retail Display Packs / 1 Odds (doh) = 418,000 total Green borders / 200 cards in set = 2090 per card.
  • Purple Borders – 130,000 Fat Packs * 2 Per pack = 260,000 total Purple borders / 200 cards in set = 1300 per card
  • Yellow Borders – 24,000 Retail Display packs / 4 Odds = 6000 total Yellow borders / 200 cards in set = 30 per card

Some notes on changes to the parallels this series. Topps messed up on the Fat packs this time. In the past they came with 2 green borders and 1 purple border. This series it was swapped, 2 purples per fat pack, and only 1 green border. So despite production being way up on the set overall the Green parallel production is only slightly up vs. the last set. Conversely, the packet issue with purples in fat packs, coupled with increased production means Purple production is almost triple the previous set. Blacklight cards are up 100 more then Bruised due to production increases as well. With the yellow borders we see a different story. Because there appears to be a decrease in Retail Display boxes the yellows might be as low as only 30 of each card produced. Except this to be up sharply as yellows more to Value boxes for 2020S1.

Now let’s take a look at the various insert sets.

  • Horror Film Posters – 69,000 Collector packs / 24 odds = 2,875 total Horror Film Posters / 9 cards in set = 319 per card
  • Classic Monsters – 130,000 Fat packs * 2 per pack = 260,000 total Classic Monsters / 20 cards in set = 13,000 per card
  • Horror Victims – 52,800 Blaster Boxes * 3 per box = 158,400 total Horror Victims / 10 cards in set = 15,840 per card
  • Trick or Treat – 24,000 Retail Display packs / 3 odds = 8,000 total Trick or Treat / 10 cards in set = 800 per card
  • Tombstone Figures – 2,875 Collector boxes / 1 odds – 2,875  total Tombstone figures / 12 figures in set = 240 per figure

While production was way up, some of the insert set changes helped keep production runs for the inserts only slightly higher than previous sets. Set sizes for Posters, Horror Victims, and Trick or Treats kept the numbers in line with previous releases. While I know it doesn’t seem like it for some of the Tombstone figurines, there are a good number of each available. Topps choosing to pack each case with the same figures certainly doesn’t help collectors in making the set.

One thing I like taking a look at each set is where all the printing plates are hiding. Historically, retail has the majority of the printing plates because it accounts for over 80% of the print run. One other thing these numbers will tell us is how close we are to having correct retail pack production numbers. We know Topps inserted 440 plates into production. Here is the breakdown of how many can be found in each pack type.

  • Collector Plates – 69,000 packs / 462 odds = 149 plates in Collector packs
  • Fat Pack Plates – 130,000 packs / 870 odds = 149 plates in Fat Pack packs
  • Blaster Plates – 264,000 packs / 2615 odds = 100 plates in Blaster packs
  • Retail Display Plates – 24,000 packs / 2653 odds = 9 plates in Retail Display packs

Once again if you want a plate Collector packs are the easiest option. Although a large amount of plates are in retail packs, you just have to open a bunch. The total we get on plates is 407. Which is not bad considering as I mentioned in the last article the packs numbers are probably slightly off on Fat packs and Retail Display packs. Still we are in the ballpark of 440. Which makes me feel good that we are close on production numbers.

Topps is seeing popularity for the GPK brand at its highest it’s been in years. A new Brand Manager has started making some long overdue changes to set and card makeup. There will be many more changes coming in the 2020S1 set. The art is better than its even been now that the final card artists have been paired down. There are more merchandise items than ever before with GPK characters on them. The trick going forward for Topps will be to try to balance popularity of the sets, while keeping collectors happy with insertion rates. A huge complaint with this series was around how tough the hits were to pull for collectors. It will be interesting to see how Topps handles that in the next retail set.

Finally, can we figure out how many base cards were produced? Not really, but we can use what we know and give it our best guess! We know Collector packs have 6 or 7 base cards per pack now, except for packs containing patches, but that number is so small we will go with 6. Retail/Hobby packs 7 base cards per pack this time around, except for packs containing gold dust, autos, sketches, and plates, but again that number is so small I’m going to go with 7 per pack.

Base Cards – (69,000 Collector packs X 6 cards per pack) + (679,000 Retail packs X 7 cards per pack) = 5,167,000 Total Base Cards produced / 200 cards per set = 25,835 Total of each base card.

The smaller set size, coupled with high production increases means there are over 10,000 more base sets than the last release. Take your time with this one, there will be base sets of this one around for years to come.

This is Part 2 of a two part series on the production of 2019S2 GPK Revenge of Oh the Horror-ibleIf you missed Part 1 you can go here to catch up.

How Many 2019S2 GPK Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible Cards Were Produced? Part 1

This is Part 1 of a 2 part series on the production of 2019 Series 2 Garbage Pail Kids Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible. Part 2 will be posting soon.

Last year’s 2018S2 Oh the Horror-ible was a very successful set for Topps. GPK fans tend to lean towards the horror genre, and that showed with a very good selling set. In fact it sold so well it caused production of 2019S1 We Hate the 90’s to increase slightly, especially with retail. What should have been expected by collectors, but still comes as a shock, the newest set 2019S2 Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible production is much higher. While that’s bad for collectors looking to pull hits from packs, its good for the brand as it shows when the art and gags are well done, it will sell. Just how high did Topps raise the production? Let’s dive into the numbers and see where things stand.

First my disclaimer! Production numbers are never an exact science, and Topps makes it tough on us. In order to attempt to solve this riddle we need to look very closely at the clues in both the odds and the sell sheets. Some things to keep in mind for this post. 1) Topps doesn’t want the public to know exactly how much of each card was made. Why? No idea really, I think its dumb, but historically Topps only provides enough information to get close. 2) We need to make some assumptions. Those assumptions will be based on the clues we have, but still some guessing has to happen. 3) The odds never quite seem to come out completely equal. However, we can round and get pretty close to how much was produced. 4) Topps changes what is printed from what the sell sheet says all the time. This will throw off all our numbers. 5) Keep in mind Topps historically holds back up to 5% of the print run to cover missing hits, damaged cards, and their No Purchase Necessary program. These numbers would include that 5%. With all that in mind let’s get started…(Warning lots of math coming up. If you don’t want to read about the process, skip to the bottom for the answer sheet!)

To start we need to determine how many packs were made for the entire print run. In order to do that we need a card type where all the odds are exactly the same in Collector and Retail/Hobby packs. In the past this was easy. Historically, Topps has used the same exact odds for both the Gold borders and the Artist autographs. With this set, like We Hate the 90’s, there are all kinds of problems with the odds printed in the packs. First off, odds for the parallels are at least overstated by double. This has happen before on GPK packs. This is especially true with the Gold borders. Based on actual pulls coming from multiple cases, I’m confident in saying Golds are falling at twice the rate of the odds in all pack types. Going forward in this article I will be citing the parallels odds 1/2 of what’s printed on the packs. The problem we run into is the odds on Fat Pack. In the past I’ve always counted a Fat pack as 2 retail packs. The odds seemed to lean that way. However, something interesting with this release. The odds for fat packs are 1/3 of the odds on retail packs for gold borders, autos, and even printing plates. It does make sense now. With regular packs being 8 cards, Fat Packs are now 24 cards. Now of course 5 of the cards in the fat pack are inserts or parallels, but they are closer to 3 retail packs than 2. So going forward I’m going to count Fat packs as 3 retail packs in calculations. Just know that because of the number of inserts, the numbers for Fat packs will be a little higher than they really are.

Gold borders this time are set at 1:146/1:145 packs in Collector, Retail, and Blaster packs, and 1:49 in Fat packs. Since the odds are overstated by double I’m going to use 1:73 as the more realistic odds. There are 200 base cards in the set, and Gold borders are /50 on the back. Therefore, 200 X 50 number of golds per card = 10,000 total Gold borders X 73 odds = 730,000 total packs made for release. Holy %$&*$ that’s a lot of cards!

How can we be sure 730,000 is the right number? It’s hard because Topps no longer has any other card types with similar odds across the packs. Instead let’s try to reverse check our number and see if it makes sense. Let’s try to figure out how many of each pack type there are. Collector packs are always easy. There are a lot of card types only found in Collector packs. Relics, Red borders, Blue borders, and shaped sketches are all things we can use. Let’s look at the math on those:

  • Patch Cards – 10 cards in set X 100 made per card = 1000 total patches x 69 odds = 69,000 Collector packs made
  • Bloody Red borders – 200 cards in set X 75 made per card = 15,000 total Red borders X 5 odds = 75,000 Collector packs made
  • Spit Blue borders – 200 cards in set X 99 made per card = 19,800 total Blue borders X 3.5 odds = 69,000 Collector packs made
  • Shaped sketches – 51 artists * 12 sketches each = 612 total shaped sketches * 102 odds = 62,424 Collector packs made

Once again Collector boxes are pretty easy to figure out. Sure the blue borders show a few more packs, but quite often the odds are rounded and not exact. That could account for some of the differences. It looks like its safe to assume 69,000 Collector packs were made. This shows a sharp increase in production of Collector packs. It makes sense, collectors bought the first Horror-ible release, and this one sold even better.

How about other pack types? In order to determine how many different types of retail packs were made, we would need a card type that is only in one type of retail pack, and we know how many were made. In the past this has been near impossible. The only card types that are individual to retail packs are Loaded Sketches and Panoramic Sketches. While Topps doesn’t release the number of sketches inserted, we have a good idea. Sketch artists were asked to do 5 Loaded and 3 Panoramic sketches. We also know, based on the Topps checklist, that there were 51 sketch artists this series. In the past a multitude of factors didn’t allow me to use these numbers. Some times artists didn’t complete their sketches, or many were rejected by Topps, or Topps’ odds were just way off what makes sense. Let’s see what the numbers show.

  • Loaded sketches – 51 artists * 5 sketches each = 255 total Loaded sketches * 207 odds per box = 52,785 Blaster boxes * 5 packs per box = 263,925 blaster packs
  • Panoramic sketches – 51 artists * 3 sketches each = 153 total pano sketches * 852 odds = 130,356 Fat packs

A lot of things to note on these numbers. Odds for Panoramic sketches show up on Blaster packs for some reason, in addition to Fat packs. So far I’ve only seen Panoramic sketches come out of Fat packs. The change to move Panos to Blaster packs isn’t suppose to happen until the next series. I fully believe the Pano odds on the Blaster packs are a mis-print, and they aren’t in there. If they are in there, it completely throws the odds off, which is another reason I think its s mis-print. If we are going to count each Fat pack as 3 retail packs that makes those 391,068. Yozzers! Those are huge numbers for each pack type, especially when compared to previous releases. However based on actually pull rates of sketches, plates, and autos from packs the numbers make sense. I’m going to round both of those numbers. Let’s use 264,000 Blaster packs, and 391,00 adjusted Fat packs.

We know there are 69,000 Collector packs. If total packs are 730,000 – 69,000 Collector packs = 661,000 retail packs. Let’s take it even further. 661,000 retail packs – 264,000 blaster packs – 391,000 Fat packs = 6,000 Retail Display packs. Ok wait a second, that doesn’t make sense. But let’s think about Retail Display boxes. They aren’t sold in stores. The only way to get them is from online retailers or Topps.com. So far Topps.com hasn’t posted them for sale. Previous series I estimated only 43,000. Maybe they weren’t ordered in any large quantities? I’ve seen very few Retail Display boxes being busted online so far. Do I think there were only 6,000 Retail Display packs? No I don’t, I’m sure there are more. But remember my estimate of counting each Fat pack as 3 is an over estimate. With production being so high on those, that could easily account for the missing Retail Display packs. Let’s look at regular sketch cards in a different way. If the odds are correct on the Loaded and Pano sketches we can figure out how many regular sketches are in each pack type. 51 artists were asked to do 37 regular sketches each. That comes out to 1887 total regular sketches.

  • Fat Packs 130,000 / 120 odds = 1083 regular sketches in Fat Packs
  • Blaster Packs 264,000 / 358 odds = 737 regular sketches in Blaster Packs
  • 1887 total regular sketches – 1083 sketches in Fat packs – 737 sketches in blaster packs = 67 sketches in Retail Display packs * 358 odds = 23,986 Retail Display packs

This way of doing it gives us a more realistic Retail Display number. Roughly 24,000 packs is less than previous sets, but makes more sense than 6,000 packs. If we use 24,000 for Retail packs, then we get 264,000 Blaster + 391,000 Fat + 24,000 Retail = 679,000 total retail packs. This is a little more than what we came out with above at 661,000. This is most likely because using a 3x multiplier for Fat packs is slightly too much. So which numbers should we use? For the rest of this article and the next, I’m going with 391,000 for Fat packs, and 24,000 for Retail Display packs. This also changes our total pack number to 748,000. Just know the Fat pack number is a slight over estimate. Another interesting thing to look at with regular sketches. 51 artists * 37 regular sketches each = 1887 total sketches * 358 odds across retail = 675,546 retail packs. Thats right there with the 679,000 number we came up with. I’m confident that the total pack number is very close.

What do the numbers tell us? Topps cranked the presses for this set. Heck they might still be running. I’m fairly confident we can use the total pack number of 748,000. Topps makes it really tough to get an accurate number. Life would be a lot easier if they revealed more.

Here’s what I believe the total production numbers to be for We Hate the 90’s:

  • Total Production – 748,000 Packs
  • Collector – 69,000 Collector Packs or about 2,875 Hobby Boxes or about 360 Collector Cases
  • Blaster – 264,000 Blaster Packs or 32,800 Blaster boxes or 1,320 Blaster Cases
  • Fat Packs – 130,000 Fat Packs or 1203 Fat Pack cases
  • Retail Display – 24,000 Retail Display Packs or 1000 Retail Display boxes or 125 Retail Display Cases

Production is not only up, but it’s up huge. Retail partners, including the folks that stock Target, saw how well 2018S2 Oh the Horror-ible sold, and ordered accordingly. Can the market sustain that many cards? Only time will tell. We won’t know until we see any steep discounts at online merchants many months down the line. How does production stack up against recent sets?

  • Total Pack Production
    • We Hate the 80’s – 439,000
    • Oh the Horror-ible – 440,000
    • We Hate the 90’s – 473,000
    • Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible – 748,000 (37% increase in production vs. We Hate the 90’s)
  • Collector Pack Production
    • We Hate the 80’s – 39,000
    • Oh the Horror-ible – 60,000
    • We Hate the 90’s – 50,000
    • Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible – 69,000 (28% Increase in Collector production vs. We Hate the 90’s)
  • Retail Pack Production
    • We Hate the 80’s (Includes Hobby packs) – 393,000
    • Oh the Horror-ible – 380,000
    • We Hate the 90’s – 423,000
    • Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible – 6579,000 (38% increase in Retail/Hobby production vs. We Hate the 90’s)

Since I’ve been running this website and figuring out production numbers, this is the highest produced GPK set to date. This even beats the 30th anniversary set. This is why when you are busting packs you aren’t pulling any big hits. The sketches, plates, and autos are very hard to pull. This frustrates collectors who have been more use to easier pulls the previous years. On the other side of the coin, this shows fantastic growth for the GPK brand within Topps. Just look at the number of officially licensed merchandise being launched by numerous companies. Topps has successfully got the GPK brand name out in public. That in conjunction with the Horror theme of the set, has proven to be a hit. What will be fascinating to see is how demand for this set will result in sales for 2020S1 Late to School. Demand for GPK has not been this high in years. Will the trend continue into 2020?

This practice is always a lot of fun to look at. Let me know your thoughts on the numbers in the comments!

This is Part 1 of a 2 part series on the production of 2019 Series 2 Garbage Pail Kids Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible. In Part 2 we will look at production numbers for all parallel and insert sets. Part 2 will be posted soon.

2019 Series 2 Garbage Pail Kids Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible Explained

After a long eight months off, Topps is back with 2019 Series 2 Garbage Pail Kids Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible. The latest set from Topps is another sequel, this time based off the popular 2018S2 Oh the Horror-ible set. GPK collectors seem to gravitate to the horror theme, and last years set was one of the most popular modern sets. For the most part Topps is sticking to the same formula they’ve used over the years. The base set is broken down into 7 subsets, with 200 total base cards. This is back down from the previous We Hate the 90’s set. Based on the odds, production for this set seems to have increased sharply. I will have articles in the coming days looking at production numbers in more detail. To see the official Topps checklist click here. For now here is what you can find, and where you can find it in 2019 Series 2 Garbage Pail Kids Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible.

(Note: I will continue to update this post as new information comes to light and any new parallels/inserts are found.)

  • Base Set – 200 total cards made up of 7 different subsets.
    • Retro Horror Sticker (30 cards/15 a/b)
    • 80’s Horror Sticker (30 cards/15 a/b)
    • Modern Horror Sticker (30 cards/15 a/b)
    • Slasher Film Sticker (30 cards/15 a/b)
    • Cult Horror Sticker (40 cards/20 a/b)
    • Horror Personality Sticker (30 cards/15 a/b)
    • Folklore Sticker (10 cards/5 a/b)
  • Parallel Sets – Same exact cards from the Base set, except with a different speckled color border.
    • Black Light (Notation on back) – 1:1 – Collector (200 Cards)
    • Blood Splatter Blue Border (Light Blue) /99 – 1:7 – Collector (200 Cards)
    • Blood Splatter Red Border (Red) /75 – 1:10 – Collector (200 Cards)
    • Blood Splatter Gold Border (Gold) /50 – 1:145 – Retail Display/Value, 1:146 – Collector, 1:49 Fat Packs (200 Cards)
    • Blood Splatter Green Border (Green) – 1:1 – Retail (200 Cards)
    • Blood Splatter Purple Border (Purple) – 2:1 – Fat Packs (200 Cards)
    • Blood Splatter Yellow Border (Yellow) – 1:8 – Retail Display (200 Cards)
    • Printing Plates – 1:462 Collector, 1:2,615 Value, 1:2,653 Retail Display, 1:870 Fat Packs (440 Total Plates – 4 per card artwork)
  • Insert Sets – All the various insert subsets that can be found in packs.
    • “Mo Bile” Jago Studios Insert Card – Collector/Retail Display/Value/Fat Packs (1 Card)
    • Horror Film Poster Parodies – 1:24 – Collector (9 Cards)
    • Classic Monsters Stickers – 2 Per Fat Pack (10a/b – 20 Cards)
    • Trick or Treat – 1:3 – Retail Display (10 Total Cards)
    • GPK Horror Victims – 3 Per Value Box (5a/b – 10 Total Cards)
    • Faux Character Relics – 1:69 – Collector (10 Total Cards)
    • Tombstone Figurine – 1 Per Collector Box (12 Total Figures)
    • Artist Autograph /25 – 1:73 Collector, 1:410 Retail Display, 1:409 Value, 1:137 Fat Packs (100 Total Cards – 1 per card artwork)
    • Sketch Card – 1:279 Retail Display/Value, 1:120 Fat Packs (51 Artists)
    • Shaped Sketch – 1:102 – Collector (51 Artists)
    • Triptych Sketch – 1:670 – Collector (51 Artists)
    • Loaded Sketch – 1:207 – Value Box (51 Artists)
    • Panoramic Sketch Cards – 1:852 – Fat Packs/Value (51 Artists)

Are you a rainbow collector? Checkout this rainbow checklist, custom made for 2019S2 Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible. Made by Mr. GeePeeKay himself! Download it, edit it, post it for everyone to see! Get your rainbows complete!

Collector Pack Odds for 2019 Series 2 Garbage Pail Kids Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible

With just one day before release day Collector boxes of 2019 Series 2 Garbage Pail Kids Revenge of Oh the Horror-ible are starting to surface. Thanks to Mikee Friesen for pictures of the collector box and odds. Much like with Retail, the odds appear to be tougher than previous sets, and production higher. However, it might not be as bad as it seems. The odds for the red and blue parallels appear to be overstated by double as Mikee pulled 5 reds and 7 blues from his box. Yes that’s a small sample size, but overstating the odds by double has been something Topps has been doing on and off for a while now. The other unknown is what the Faux Character Relic is. I thought that might be the figures, but they have odds on the pack. So there might indeed be patches once again in the set. I’ll have much more on that and production numbers in upcoming articles. Here are the Collector pack odds.

2019S2 GPK Revenge of Oh the Horror-bike Collector Pack Odds

  • Blood Splatter Blue 1:7
  • Blood Splatter Red 1:10
  • Blood Splatter Gold 1:146
  • Printing Plate 1:462
  • Artist Autograph 1:73
  • Horror Film Poster 1:24
  • Faux Character Relic 1:69
  • Shaped Sketch 1:102
  • Tryptych Sketch 1:670