Month: January 2019

This is Part 2 of a two part series on the production of 2019S1 GPK We Hate the 90’s. If you missed Part 1 you can go here to catch up.

In the first post we looked at how many packs/boxes/cases were produced of 2019S1 Garbage Pail Kids We Hate the 90’s. Here’s a review of what we came up with.

• Total Production – 473,000 Packs
• Collector – 50,000 Collector Packs or about 2,083 Hobby Boxes or about 260 Collector Cases
• Blaster – 160,000 Blaster Packs or 32,000 Blaster boxes or 2,000 Blaster cases
• Fat Packs – 110,000 Fat Packs or 1,018 Fat Pack cases
• Retai Display – 43,000 Packs or 1791 Retail Display boxes or 224 Retail Display cases

I’ll be using these numbers to try to come up with an idea how many of each type of parallel and insert were created for the set. This will give you a good idea how rare a set is and how quickly you need to snap up that card for your rainbow! I’ll also compare some of this info to the previous sets for reference. As a reminder, in addition to using the sell sheet and odds, we will also have to make some assumptions and flat out guesses when trying to figure some of these out.

So how many of each type of card was made? We can’t figure it out for every type of insert or parallel. Some card types we don’t have enough information. Other times however, Topps is nice enough to tell us exactly how many of a card was produced. Like previous sets, Topps has continued to number many card types. This means we already know most of the parallel and insert numbers already! Makes this post a lot easier! We know Spit /99, Bloody /75, and Fool’s Gold /50 for the parallels, and Patches /50 and Autos /25 for the insert sets!

For previous sets there were always some card types we couldn’t determine production on. In the past we’ve never been able to break down the production of various retail pack types. However, with this series we did this in Part 1. We took the information from artists and the odds to come up with retail pack production. The numbers look close, and pass the logic test. Therefore, for the first time I’m going to take a crack at figuring out Yellow Phlegm, Purple Jelly, and the various retail insert set’s print runs.

First let’s figure out production for the various parallels.

• Bruised Borders – 50,000 Collector packs / 1 Odds (doh) = 50,000 total Bruised borders / 220 cards in set = 227 per card.
• Puke Borders – 423,000 Retail packs / 1 Odds (doh) = 423,000 total Puke borders / 220 cards in set = 1922 per card.
• Jelly Borders – 110,000 Fat Packs / 1 Odds (doh) = 110,000 total Jelly borders / 220 cards in set = 500 per card
• Phlegm Borders – 43,000 Retail’s Display packs / 4 Odds = 10,750 total Phlegm borders / 220 cards in set = 49 per card

A lot of interesting information here. I believe these numbers help show our retail pack production numbers make sense. For this set, it looks like yellow borders are right around 50 per card. This puts them at the same rareness as the Gold borders. Is this the case for previous sets? No way! Because the yellow parallels only appear in Retail Display packs this time, there are the fewest available of any set to date. So how many yellow borders were in the previous sets? Using our production numbers for this set as a guide, I’m willing to estimate previous sets had a 150-200 per yellow border print run. Jelly borders at 500 per card also make a lot of sense. You’ll notice Bruised set production is down quite a bit from the Oh the Horror-ible set. This is because production was both smaller for Collector boxes, and Topps increased the set size. Puke borders come in right around the same because the increased retail production makes up for the increased set size.

Now let’s take a look at the various insert sets.

• Wax Pack Parodies – 50,000 Collector packs / 24 odds = 2,083 total Wax Parodies / 10 cards in set = 208 per card
• Wacky Pails – 110,000 Fat packs * 2 per pack = 220,000 total Wacky Pails / 20 cards in set = 11,000 per card
• Bathroom Buddies – 32,000 Blaster Boxes * 3 per box = 96,000 total Bathroom Buddies / 8 cards in set = 12,000 per card
• Classic 90’s – 43,000 Retail Display packs / 3 odds = 14,333 total Classic 90’s / 20 cards in set = 716 per card

Again this is the first time we’ve been able to try to figure out the print run of the various retail inserts. Classic 90’s are a small fraction of both the Wacky Pails and Bathroom Buddies based completely on pack type production. The Collector only Wax Pack Parodies are down quite a bit compared to the previous set due to lower Collector production.

One thing I like taking a look at each set is where all the printing plates are hiding. Historically, retail has the majority of the printing plates because it accounts for over 80% of the print run. One other thing these numbers will tell us is how close we are to having correct retail pack production numbers. We know Topps inserted 440 plates into production. Here is the breakdown of how many can be found in each pack type.

• Collector Plates – 50,000 packs / 559 odds = 89 plates in Collector packs
• Fat Pack Plates – 110,000 packs / 402 odds = 273 plates in Fat Pack packs
• Blaster Plates – 160,000 packs / 1208 odds = 132 plates in Blaster packs
• Retail Display Plates – 43,000 packs / 1221 odds = 35 plates in Retail Display packs

Right away you’ll notice the number of plates available in Collector packs is down sharply compared to the previous release. Topps raised the odds considerable on the newest set for plates. Secondly, if you add up all the plate numbers you get 529 total plates. We know that number is high. However, its in the ballpark. Which once again shows we are on the right track with our retail production numbers. Sure they are off a little bit, but considering Topps printed the incorrect odds for parallels on the packs, who’s to say the printing plate odds are correct as well. If you are plate hunting this set, Fat Packs look to be your best bet!

Topps is currently in a transition with their GPK brand. Without gravity feed boxes, Topps continues to try to find the right combination of retail pack production and insertion rates that work for retailers and collectors. Production was up this time around, due completely to higher retail orders. In fact this is the highest produced GPK set since Adam-Geddon. Can Topps keep this momentum as we head into later parts of 2019? Will collector apathy towards the new set cause lower production numbers for the 2019S2 set? Or will the theme and possible changes to the next set result in renewed collector interest? These will be things to keep your eyes on for the rest of 2019.

Finally, can we figure out how many base cards were produced? Not really, but we can use what we know and give it our best guess! We know Collector packs have 6 base cards per pack now, except for packs containing patches, but that number is so small we will go with 6. Retail/Hobby packs 7 base cards per pack this time around, except for packs containing gold dust, autos, sketches, and plates, but again that number is so small I’m going to go with 7 per pack.

Base Cards – (50,000 Collector packs X 6 cards per pack) + (423,000 Retail/Hobby packs X 7 cards per pack) = 3,261,000 Total Base Cards produced / 220 cards per set = 14,822 Total of each base card.

Once again the increase in set size has caused a slight dip in the total number of available base sets. Don’t delay you only have 14,000 chances to relive the 90’s!

This is Part 2 of a two part series on the production of 2019S1 GPK We Hate the 90’s. If you missed Part 1 you can go here to catch up.

This is Part 1 of a two part series on the production of 2019 Series 1 Garbage Pail Kids We Hate the 90’s. Part 2 will be posting soon.

Coming off a highly successful 2018S2 Oh the Horror-ible set, Topps is following up with a sequel of sorts. This time Garbage Pail Kids are taking on the 90’s. Going into the set, collectors seemed to be apathetic towards the new offering. Would those feelings reflect in the production numbers? Once again Topps cancelled Target Gravity Feed boxes a week after offering them. This marks the second series in a row with no gravity feeds. Let’s delve into the numbers and see where this set ranks in terms of production.

First my disclaimer! Production numbers are never an exact science, and Topps makes it tough on us. In order to attempt to solve this riddle we need to look very closely at the clues in both the odds and the sell sheets. Some things to keep in mind for this post. 1) Topps doesn’t want the public to know exactly how much of each card was made. Why? No idea really, I think its dumb, but historically Topps only provides enough information to get close. 2) We need to make some assumptions. Those assumptions will be based on the clues we have, but still some guessing has to happen. 3) The odds never quite seem to come out completely equal. However, we can round and get pretty close to how much was produced. 4) Topps changes what is printed from what the sell sheet says all the time. This will throw off all our numbers. 5) Keep in mind Topps historically holds back up to 5% of the print run to cover missing hits, damaged cards, and their No Purchase Necessary program. These numbers would include that 5%. With all that in mind let’s get started…(Warning lots of math coming up. If you don’t want to read about the process, skip to the bottom for the answer sheet!)

To start we need to determine how many packs were made for the entire print run. In order to do that we need a card type where all the odds are exactly the same in Collector and Retail/Hobby packs. In the past this was easy. Historically, Topps has used the same exact odds for both the Gold borders and the Artist autographs. With this set there are all kinds of problems with the odds printed in the packs. First off, odds for the parallels are at least overstated by double. This has happen before on GPK packs. This is especially true with the Gold borders. Based on actual pulls coming from multiple cases, I’m confident in saying golds are falling at twice the rate of the odds in Blaster, Hobby, and Collector packs. Fat packs is another story. The odds might be overstated by as much as 4 times, based on actual pulls from cases. If you take the odds and correct them, it puts production in line with the previous set, which makes more sense. Going forward in this article I will be citing the parallels odds 1/2 of what’s printed on the packs. For Fat Packs I will double the corrected odds to more closely align them with other retail packs, since they are roughly equal to two packs. However, this does make the odds off a bit, as fat pack odds are slightly easier than retail odds. This means production numbers are actually a little less than what’s stated in the article. It’s not a lot, but the numbers will be off.

Gold borders this time are set at 1:43 packs in Collector, Retail, and Blaster packs. The exception is Fat Pack retail packs, at 1:19, if we double those we still only get 1:38, which is slightly less that it should be. I will use the 1:43 number. There are 220 base cards in the set, and Gold borders are /50 on the back. Therefore, 220 X 50 number of golds per card = 11,000 total Gold borders X 43 odds = 473,000 total packs made for release. Interesting, it appears that production might be slightly up for this release.

Can we be sure about 473,000 packs being made? We use to be able to double check by using Artist Autographs. However, this series the odds for autos are different across the board, and like with parallels I’m not completely convinced they are accurate. I don’t have enough data to show otherwise. We also can’t use plates for the same reason. We are going to go with the 473,000 as total number of packs. I think its the right number, and other calculations in the article show its a logical choice.

Next we need to try to figure out how many of each pack type was created for the set. Collector packs are always easier to figure out because they have the cards that are exclusive to the set. We need card types that are only in Collector packs, and we know already how many were made. Once again there are three types, Patches, Bloody Red borders, and Spit Blue borders. Here’s what the math looks like on those:

• Patch Cards – 20 cards in set X 50 made per card = 1000 total patches x 50 odds = 50,000 Collector packs made
• Bloody Red borders – 220 cards in set X 75 made per card = 16,500 total Red borders X 3 odds = 49,500 Collector packs made
• Spit Blue borders – 220 cards in set X 99 made per card = 21,780 total Blue borders X 2.5 odds = 54,450 Collector packs made

Once again Collector boxes are pretty easy to figure out. Sure the blue borders show a few more packs, but quite often the odds are rounded and not exact. That could account for the difference. It looks like its safe to assume 50,000 Collector packs were made. This shows a decrease in production for Collector packs. It makes sense, collectors were hyped for the Horror-ible series, not quite as much for this one. That shows in the production numbers. However, one important thing to note is that production is higher overall than most other recent sets.

How about other pack types? Once again Hobby boxes are nonexistent, and exist in name only. Starting with Adam-Geddon Topps has made Hobby boxes the same as Regular Retail Display boxes. There are no longer any marks on the packs or boxes that distinguish a Hobby box vs. a Retail display box. Also, the odds are exactly the same. In order to determine how many different types of retail packs were made, we would need a card type that is only in one type of retail pack, and we know how many were made. In the past this has been near impossible. However, this time I’m going to give it a shot. The only card types that are individual to retail packs are Loaded Sketches and Panoramic Sketches. While Topps doesn’t release the number of sketches inserted, we have a good idea. Sketch artists were asked to do 5 Loaded and 3 Panoramic sketches. We also know, based on Topps checklist, that were were 56 sketch artists this series. In the past a multitude of factors didn’t allow me to use these numbers. Some times artists didn’t complete their sketches, or many were rejected by Topps, or Topps’ odds were just way off what makes sense. After running the numbers using the odds, and what we know about the sketches, the numbers look to match up. Let’s take a look.

• Loaded sketches – 56 artists * 5 sketches each = 280 total Loaded sketches * 114 odds per box = 31,920 Blaster boxes * 5 packs per box = 159,600 blaster packs
• Panoramic sketches – 56 artists * 3 sketches each = 168 total pano sketches * 656 odds = 110,208 Fat packs

Keep in mind for our calculations we count a fat pack as 2 retail packs. Therefore, for Fat packs we would use 220,416 as the number. I’m going to round that down to 220,000 for our calculations. I’m also going to round the Blaster pack number to 160,000.

We know there are 50,000 Collector packs. If total packs are 473,000 – 50,000 Collector packs = 423,000 retail packs. Let’s take it even further. 423,000 retail packs – 160,000 blaster packs – 220,000 Fat packs = 43,000 Hobby/Retail Display packs. Those seem like very plausible numbers. Is there a way to check those? Let’s use regular sketches. The odds for regular sketches very slightly. Blasters are 1:256, while Fat packs and Retail Display are both listed as 1:279. While the calculations won’t be accurate because of the variances, the numbers get close. 56 artists * 30 regular sketches each = 1680 total sketches * 279 odds = 468,720 retail packs. if you take out collector packs, and 1/2 the fat packs from that number, then add back in packs for the blaster odds being easier, the numbers are in the ballpark. When you think about it, the number make sense. Very few Hobby/Retail Display boxes, compared to all the blasters and fat packs available.

What do the numbers tell us? You will need to take some of these numbers, especially the retail breakdown, with a grain of salt. We had to make some assumptions and a leap of faith in the odds printed on the packs, which we know Topps isn’t accurate all the time. Tryptych sketch odds don’t even show up on Collector packs, instead Topps listed odds for Dual Artist Pano sketches, which don’t exist in the product! However, I think it’s safe to assume 473,000 as total pack production, and 50,000 as the Collector production.

Here’s what I believe the total production numbers to be for We Hate the 90’s:

• Total Production – 473,000 Packs
• Collector – 50,000 Collector Packs or about 2,083 Hobby Boxes or about 260 Collector Cases
• Blaster – 160,000 Blaster Packs or 32,000 Blaster boxes or 2,000 Blaster cases
• Fat Packs – 110,000 Fat Packs or 1,018 Fat Pack cases
• Retai Display – 43,000 Packs or 1791 Retail Display boxes or 224 Retail Display cases

Really interesting story for Topps this time around. Collector production is down. Makes sense because collectors liked the horror theme better, and didn’t order as much of We Hate the 90’s. Retail production however is up. That also makes sense. Retail is reactionary. They saw good sales of Oh the Horror-ible, so they ordered more of We Hate the 90’s. Production overall being up can’t be a bad thing for the brand. Let’s see where We Hate the 90’s stacks up against other recent sets.

• Total Pack Production
  • Trashy TV – 638,000
  • Adam-Geddon – 459,000
  • Battle of the Bands – 441,000
  • We Hate the 80’s – 439,000
  • Oh the Horror-ible – 440,000
  • We Hate the 90’s – 473,000 (7% increase in production vs. Oh the Horror-ible)
• Collector Pack Production
  • Trashy TV – 35,000
  • Adam-Geddon – 36,000
  • Battle of the Bands – 41,000
  • We Hate the 80’s – 39,000
  • Oh the Horror-ible – 60,000
  • We Hate the 90’s – 50,000 (17% decrease in Collector production vs. Oh the Horror-ible)
• Retail Pack Production
  • Trashy TV – 550,000
  • Adam-Geddon (Includes Hobby packs) – 423,000
  • Battle of the Bands (Includes Hobby packs) – 400,000
  • We Hate the 80’s (Includes Hobby packs) – 393,000
  • Oh the Horror-ible – 380,000
  • We Hate the 90’s – 423,000 (10.2% increase in Retail/Hobby production vs. Oh the Horror-ible)

Topps prints to order their product. Which means based on distributor pre-orders, Topps decides how much product to produce. As mentioned earlier overall production is up for We hate the 90’s. in fact it’s the largest produced set since Trashy TV. This is due to retail production. It will be fascinating to see what happens on the next GPK set later this year. Collector demand has not been as high for the newest set. Will that result in reactionary retail orders, and therefore lower production? Based on the next theme will Collectors purchase higher amounts? Really interesting to follow as the brand evolves.

This practice is always a lot of fun to look at. Let me know your thoughts on the numbers in the comments!

This is Part 1 of a two part series on the production of 2019S1 Garbage Pail Kids We Hate the 90’s. In Part 2 we will look at production numbers for all parallel and insert sets. Part 2 will be posted soon.

It seems just like yesterday we were busting into packs of Oh the Horror-ible. It’s been 4 months since the last retail release. Topps is back with 2019S1 GPK We Hate the 90’s. The newest set from Topps is a sequel of sorts from their popular set from last year on the 80’s. This time all the cards are based off of popular culture items from the 1990’s. Collectors really enjoyed both sets last year in 2018. Will collectors enjoy the first set of 2019 as much? Topps is again sticking to the same formula they have for the last few years. The base set is broken down into 9 themes this time, and has been increased to 220 cards. This matches some of the sets from a few years ago for highest number of base cards. I will have articles coming in the next few days looking at production numbers. However, one important thing to take note of, odds for the parallels appear to be inflated by double or more. To see the official Topps checklist click here. For now here is what you can find, and where you can find it in 2019 Series 1 Garbage Pail Kids We Hate the 90’s.

(Note: I will continue to update this post as new information comes to light and any new parallels/inserts are found.)

• Base Set – 220 total cards made up of 9 different subsets.
  • 90’s Cartoon & Comics Sticker (10a/b – 20 Total Cards)
  • 90’s Fads Sticker (10a/b – 20 cards)
  • 90’s Fashion Sticker (9a/b – 18 cards)
  • 90’s Films Sticker (20a/b – 40 cards)
  • 90’s Music & Celebrities Sticker (8a/b – 16 cards)
  • 90’s Politics & News Sticker (9a/b – 18 cards)
  • 90’s Toys Sticker (18a/b – 36 cards)
  • 90’s TV Sticker (20a/b – 40 cards)
  • 90’s Video Games Sticker (6a/b – 12 cards)

• Parallel Sets – Same exact cards from the Base set, except with a different speckled color border.
  • Bruised Border (Dark Blue/Black) – 1:1 – Collector (220 Cards)
  • Spit Border (Light Blue) /99 – 1:5 – Collector (220 Cards)
  • Bloody Nose Border (Red) /75 – 1:6 – Collector (220 Cards)
  • Fool’s Gold Border (Gold) /50 – 1:87 – Retail/Hobby/Collector, 1:76 Retail Fat Packs (220 Cards)
  • Puke Border (Green) – 1:1 – Retail/Hobby (220 Cards)
  • Jelly Border (Purple) – 1:1 – Retail Fat Packs (220 Cards)
  • Phlegm Border (Yellow) – 1:8 – Retail/Hobby Packs (220 Cards)
  • Printing Plates – 1:559 Collector, 1:1208 Blaster, 1:1221 Hobby/Retail, 1:402 Retail Fat Packs (440 Total Plates – 4 per card artwork)

• Insert Sets – All the various insert subsets that can be found in packs.
  • 90’s Wax Pack Parodies – 1:24 – Collector (10 Cards)
  • Classic 90’s Stickers – 1:3 – Retail/Hobby (10a/b – 20 Cards)
  • Wacky Pails – 2 Per Retail Fat Pack (10a/b – 20 Total Cards)
  • Bathroom Buddies – 3 Per Blaster Box (19-22a/b – 8 Total Cards)
  • Patch Card /50 – 1:50 – Collector (10a/b – 20 Total Cards)
  • Artist Autograph /25 – 1:89 Collector, 1:190 Hobby/Retail/Blaster, 1:64 Retail Fat Packs (110 Total Cards – 1 per card artwork)
  • Sketch Card – 1:279 Hobby/Retail/Fat Packs, 1:256 Blaster, (56 Artists)
  • Shaped Sketch – 1:160 – Collector (56 Artists)
  • Triptych Sketch – 1:480 – Collector (56 Artists)
  • Loaded Sketch – 1:114 – Blaster Box (56 Artists)
  • Panoramic Sketch Cards – 1:656 – Retail Fat Packs (56 Artists)

Happy Release Day! Today is the official release day for 2019 Series 1 Garbage Pail Kids We Hate the 90’s. Target jumped the gun on putting retail packs on the shelves last week. Today many hobby shops and online dealers will have Collector boxes available for sale. Thanks to GPK collector Ke We and ebay seller cardgarys for sending along the odds on the packs. When looking at these take note of some errors. 1) Topps has odds listed Dual Artist Panoramic Sketches on the packs. There are no dual artist panos in this set. They did however leave off the Tryptych sketches. I’m guessing the listed odds should be for those. 2) It also appears the odds for the parallels are overstated at least by double. More information is needed to confirm, but much like the listed odds on the retail packs, parallels are falling at a higher rate than stated. I’ll have much more on that and production numbers in upcoming articles. Here are the Collector pack odds.

2019S1 GPK We Hate the 90’s Collector Pack Odds

• Spit 1:5
• Bloody Nose 1:6
• Fools Gold 1:87
• Printing Plate 1:559
• Artist Autograph 1:89
• 90’s Wax Pack Parodies 1:24
• Patch Card 1:50
• Shaped Sketch 1:160
• Dual Artist Panoramic Sketch (Tryptych) 1:480

Updated 1/12: Added below are also the odds for Retail Display boxes. These 24 pack boxes are also marketed by Topps as Hobby boxes. Two important updates based in early observations:

1. Yellow Phlegm borders are in the product. After being in the Blasters in Oh the Horror-ible, this time around they are in the Retail Display packs.
2. The odds, especially for parallels, and perhaps other hits, appear to be overstated by double. For example the Yellow Phlegm borders are listed as 1:8 packs. However, in my first box, I pulled 6 yellows. Meaning the real odds would be 1:4. This makes the hugely overstated odds for Gold borders make a lot more sense. If you cut them in half it puts the odds in line with the previous release.

I’ll have a lot of observations on odds and production numbers in future articles. In the meantime scroll dow not see the odds for the Retail Display/Hobby boxes.

Original article:

It might still be five days before official release date, but collectors have started finding retail packs of 2019 Series 1 Garbage Pail Kids We Hate the 90’s in stores. Multiple collectors have reported that Target stores in their area have stocked and sold them both Jumbo Fat packs and Blaster boxes. Thanks to GPK collector Ken Reese and ebay seller dbn077 for sending along pictures of the pack odds.

Once again there are no Target Gravity Feed boxes of the new series available. It appears the odds are a little all over the place on the new series. Usually the odds for Jumbo Fat packs are about 1/2 of a blaster back since they contains double the base cards. That is not the case this time. In addition the odds for most of the hits are considerably harder than previous releases. For example compared to Oh the Horror-ible, gold border odds are double for blasters and almost 4x higher on fat packs. Sketch odds are 3x higher on fat packs, but fairly close on blaster packs. Artist autos are also double on blasters, but only slighter higher on fat packs. This would usually indicate that production would be way up. However, there is one key thing to look at. Blasters are the only packs to come with Loaded Sketches, and fat packs are the only pack to come with Panoramic sketches. The odds for those compared to the last series are not that far off. In fact odds for pano sketches are actually easier, while loaded sketches have slightly harder odds. Does this mean Topps put all the hits into Collector and Hobby/Retail display boxes? Or are the listed odds not correct? We will have to wait to find out until those other pack types hit the streets.

One other important note. There are no Yellow Phlegm border odds listed on blaster packs. Also, based on feedback from collectors that have opened packs, they are not pulling them. Did Topps remove the yellow parallel from the set?

I’ll have my usual rundown of the production numbers in the coming days once all pack odds are in. In the meantime here are the odds for Blaster and Jumbo Fat packs.

2019S1 GPK We Hate the 90’s Blaster Pack/Box Odds

• Fools Gold 1:87
• Printing Plate 1:1208
• Artist Autograph 1:190
• Regular Sketch 1:256
• Loaded Puzzle Sketch 1:114 (Blaster Boxes)

2019S1 GPK We Hate the 90’s Fat Pack Retail Odds

• Fools Gold 1:76
• Printing Plate 1:402
• Artist Autograph 1:64
• Regular Sketch 1:279
• Panoramic Sketch 1:656

2019S1 GPK We Hate the 90’s Retail Display Odds

• Phlegm 1:8
• Fools Gold 1:87
• Printing Plate 1:1221
• Artist Autograph 1:190
• Classic 90’s 1:3
• Regular Sketch 1:279